老年结直肠癌根治术后早期恢复质量的影响因素及预测模型的建立

Influencing factors of quality of early recovery after radical surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly and establishment of prediction modeling

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨行结直肠癌根治术的老年患者术后早期恢复质量的影响因素,并建立预测模型。方法 纳入2023年5月—2024年5月于扬州大学附属医院接受择期结直肠癌根治术的182例老年患者为研究对象。收集患者性别、年龄、体质量指数(BMI)、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)分级以及入院时白蛋白、血肌酐、血红蛋白及D-二聚体水平,并记录手术方式、手术时间、麻醉时间、住院时间及术后是否转入重症监护室治疗。通过电子病历系统整理患者相关信息,计算患者改良衰弱指数(mFI)。使用15项恢复质量评分量表(QoR-15)评估患者术后3 d的恢复质量。结果 术后恢复优良(QoR-15评分≥120分)患者163例,恢复中差(QoR-15评分<120分)患者19例。术前mFI(≥0.27)和BMI(≥21.05 kg/m2)是老年结直肠癌根治术后早期恢复质量的影响因素。老年结直肠癌根治术后恢复质量预测模型的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.816(95%CI: 0.710~0.921), 该模型预测患者恢复质量与实际恢复质量的一致性良好,说明模型具有较高的区分度和准确度。结论 术前mFI(≥0.27)和BMI(≥21.05 kg/m2)是老年结直肠癌根治术后恢复质量的影响因素。改善围术期衰弱状况、合理调控BMI水平,有助于降低术后并发症的发生风险。

     

    Abstract: Objective To explore the factors influencing early recovery quality after radical surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients and establish a prediction model. Methods A total of 182 elderly patients who underwent elective radical surgery for colorectal cancer at the Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University between May 2023 and May 2024 were enrolled as study objects. Data such as gender, age, body mass index (BMI), American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, albumin, serum creatinine, hemoglobin, and D-dimer levels at admission were collected. Surgical approach, operative time, anesthesia time, length of hospital stay, and whether the patient was transferred to the intensive care unit (ICU) postoperatively were also recorded. Relevant patient information was compiled through the electronic medical record system to calculate the modified frailty index (mFI). The 15-item Quality of Recovery Scale (QoR-15) was used to assess patients' recovery quality three days postoperatively. Results A total of 163 patients had good recovery (QoR-15 score ≥120) and 19 had poor recovery (QoR-15 score<120). Preoperative mFI (≥0.27) and BMI (≥21.05 kg/m2) were identified as factors influencing early recovery quality after radical surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) for the prediction model of recovery quality after radical surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients was 0.816 (95%CI: 0.710~0.921), indicating good agreement between the model's predicted recovery quality and actual recovery quality, indicating high discrimination and accuracy. Conclusion Preoperative mFI (≥0.27) and BMI (≥21.05 kg/m2) are factors influencing recovery quality after radical surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients. Improving perioperative frailty status and appropriately regulating BMI levels can help reduce the risk of postoperative complications.

     

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